Cognitive Psychology
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Theory of Mind

The ability to attribute mental states — beliefs, desires, intentions, and knowledge — to oneself and others, enabling prediction and explanation of behavior.

Theory of mind (ToM) is the ability to understand that others have mental states — beliefs, desires, intentions, and knowledge — that may differ from one's own and that guide their behavior. This capacity is fundamental to social cognition, enabling us to predict, explain, and influence others' actions by reasoning about their psychological states rather than just their observable behavior.

The False Belief Task

The hallmark test of ToM is the false belief task (Wimmer and Perner, 1983). In the standard version, a character (Sally) places a marble in a basket and leaves. Another character (Anne) moves the marble to a box. Children are asked where Sally will look for the marble when she returns. Children under about 4 years typically say Sally will look in the box (where the marble actually is), failing to represent Sally's false belief. Around age 4-5, children correctly predict that Sally will look in the basket (where she believes the marble is), demonstrating understanding of false belief.

Neural Basis

Theory of mind engages a specific brain network including the temporoparietal junction (TPJ), medial prefrontal cortex (mPFC), posterior superior temporal sulcus (pSTS), and precuneus. This "mentalizing network" is activated when people think about others' thoughts, beliefs, and intentions, and is distinct from networks involved in other social processes like empathy (which involves the anterior insula and anterior cingulate).

ToM and Autism

Simon Baron-Cohen, Alan Leslie, and Uta Frith (1985) proposed that autism spectrum disorder involves a core deficit in theory of mind — "mindblindness." Children with autism show delayed or impaired false belief understanding, difficulty interpreting others' mental states from behavior and facial expressions, and reduced spontaneous attribution of mental states. While the mindblindness theory does not account for all features of autism, ToM deficits remain a central component of the condition.

Interactive Calculator

Each row records a child's false-belief task result: age_years (age in years, can be decimal) and pass (yes or no). The calculator computes pass rates by age group and estimates the developmental transition point where ≥50% of children pass.

Click Calculate to see results, or Animate to watch the statistics update one record at a time.

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