Cognitive Psychology
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Representativeness Heuristic

Judging the probability that an item belongs to a category based on how similar it is to the category prototype, often neglecting base rates and statistical principles.

The representativeness heuristic, described by Kahneman and Tversky (1972), involves judging the probability that an instance belongs to a category based on how representative (similar) it is of that category. A description of someone as quiet, organized, and detail-oriented is judged as more likely to be a librarian than a salesperson, because the description is more representative of the librarian stereotype — even when base rates (far more salespeople than librarians) favor the salesperson category.

Biases Produced

Representativeness leads to several systematic biases. Base rate neglect: ignoring the prior probability of categories. The conjunction fallacy: judging "Linda is a bank teller and a feminist" as more probable than "Linda is a bank teller," because the conjunction is more representative of Linda's description. Insensitivity to sample size: failing to appreciate that small samples produce more extreme outcomes. The gambler's fallacy: expecting random sequences to "look random" (after several heads, a tail is "due").

The Linda Problem

"Linda is 31, single, outspoken, and very bright. She majored in philosophy. As a student, she was deeply concerned with issues of discrimination and social justice." Is it more probable that Linda is (a) a bank teller, or (b) a bank teller and active in the feminist movement? Over 80% choose (b), violating the conjunction rule of probability (a conjunction cannot be more probable than either of its constituents). This demonstrates how representativeness can override basic probabilistic reasoning.

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